Rat Containerization and Complaint Volume: Did NYC's Mandatory Bin Rollout Causally Reduce Rodent Sightings?
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Table 1. Descriptive statistics, 2020–2024 panel.

Variable Treated (9) Control (65) Total
Community districts 9 65 74
Months in window 75 75 75
CD-month observations 675 4875 5,550
Pre-treatment mean complaints/CD/month 51.1 1.6
Total Rodent complaints in window 224,889

Table 2. Four DiD estimators of the containerization-pilot effect.

Estimator ATT SE p
TWFE -10.27 1.78 <.001
CS -4.87 2.01 0.015
SA -12.85 2.81 <.001
BJS -11.90 0.70 <.001

Table 3. Robustness checks.

Check ATT p Reading
Placebo t₀ = 2022-07-01 (BJS) +9.97 <.001 Non-significant at raw α; sign reversal vs. headline.
Log(1 + complaints) TWFE +0.227 (+25.4%) 0.092 Same sign; smaller magnitude.
Post-COVID (2022-01 →) (BJS) -6.70 <.001 Strengthens headline.
Manhattan-only controls (BJS) +3.62 0.059 Same sign, wide CI.

Table 4. RDD bandwidth sensitivity (cutoff = 35.1).

Bandwidth h ATT SE p
h/2 6.59 +1.07 4.72 0.821
h 13.18 +1.64 3.41 0.631
2h 26.36 -1.51 2.91 0.604

Table 5. Identification + statistical diagnostic checklist.

Diagnostic Value p Reading
Parallel-trends F F = 4.40 <.001 Reject flat pre-trends.
Breusch-Pagan see §4.2 <.001 Heteroskedastic; cluster-robust SE.
TWFE R² 0.802 Within-panel variance absorbed.
MDE (α=.05, power=.80) ~17.6 complaints ( d ~ 1.00)
BH survivors 9/13 BH 0.05 Main BJS + SA survive.